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B. Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim

Germany Germany

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bolin H.
Assist: Mohya W.
23' Event
Tabakovic H.
32'
Hajdari A.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between B. Monchengladbach and Hoffenheim finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward B. Monchengladbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
B. Monchengladbach
15%
Draws
42%
Hoffenheim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: B. Monchengladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hoffenheim come out ahead of B. Monchengladbach on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
B. Monchengladbach Clean Sheet 10%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric B. Monchengladbach Hoffenheim
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim
4:0
Jan 14, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs B. Monchengladbach
5:1
May 3, 2025 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim
4:4
Dec 21, 2024 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs B. Monchengladbach
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs B. Monchengladbach
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

B. Monchengladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolin H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tabakovic H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Hoffenheim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

B. Monchengladbach 34 / 100
Hoffenheim 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
B. Monchengladbach Hoffenheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoffenheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: B. Monchengladbach scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Hoffenheim has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Hoffenheim lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

B. Monchengladbach VS Hoffenheim
2.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

B. Monchengladbach

(Home)
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
23 Aug
Schott Mainz
0 : 5
B. Monchengladbach
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Hoffenheim

(Away)
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1
Hoffenheim
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1
VfB Stuttgart
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Dortmund
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2
Hoffenheim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 34 28 5 1 122:36 89
2 Dortmund 34 22 7 5 70:34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 66:47 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 71:49 62
5 Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 65:52 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 68:47 59
7 Freiburg 34 13 8 13 51:57 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 61:65 44
9 Augsburg 34 12 7 15 45:61 43
10 Mainz 34 10 10 14 44:53 40
11 Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 44:58 39
12 B. Monchengladbach 34 9 11 14 42:53 38
13 Hamburger 34 9 11 14 40:54 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 7 11 16 49:63 32
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 37:60 32
16 Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 45:69 29
17 Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 41:72 26
18 St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 29:60 26
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)