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B. Monchengladbach vs St. Pauli Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal 2025/2026 Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
B. Monchengladbach Logo

B. Monchengladbach

1 - 2
FT
St. Pauli Logo

St. Pauli

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sands J.
43' Event
Kaars M.
Assist: Fujita J.
56' Event
Tabakovic H.
Assist: Honorat F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Pauli in this DFB Pokal 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
B. Monchengladbach
35%
Draws
39%
St. Pauli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Pauli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to B. Monchengladbach lately — more wins on the board than St. Pauli.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • B. Monchengladbach have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Pauli, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
B. Monchengladbach Clean Sheet 12%
St. Pauli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric B. Monchengladbach St. Pauli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Pauli vs B. Monchengladbach
1:1
Mar 13, 2026 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs St. Pauli
2:0
Dec 2, 2025 DFB Pokal
B. Monchengladbach vs St. Pauli
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs B. Monchengladbach
0:4
Apr 6, 2025 Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs B. Monchengladbach
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

B. Monchengladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabakovic H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

St. Pauli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaars M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oppie L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

B. Monchengladbach 30 / 100
St. Pauli 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
B. Monchengladbach St. Pauli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Pauli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

B. Monchengladbach scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

St. Pauli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: B. Monchengladbach remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

B. Monchengladbach VS St. Pauli
3 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

B. Monchengladbach

(Home)
03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
24 Sept
Siegen
0 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
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St. Pauli

(Away)
03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0
Wolfsburg
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
30 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 2
Kaiserslautern
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0