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Ba vs Nasinu

Fiji Fiji

Premier League Govind Park, Ba
7 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Doidoi R.
38'
Nalewadonu R.
59' Event
Doidoi R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ba and Nasinu finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Ba
15%
Draws
14%
Nasinu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ba come out ahead of Nasinu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ba Clean Sheet 20%
Nasinu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ba Nasinu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.83 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Ba vs Nasinu
7:0
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Nasinu vs Ba
0:4
Jul 19, 2025 Premier League
Ba vs Nasinu
9:1
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Nasinu vs Ba
3:2
Jul 14, 2024 Premier League
Ba vs Nasinu
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali F. F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Doidoi R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Nasinu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ba 85 / 100
Nasinu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ba Nasinu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ba found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Nasinu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Ba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ba VS Nasinu
3.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ba

(Home)
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
12 Jul
Suva
1 : 2
Ba
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Nasinu

(Away)
15 Aug
Nasinu
0 : 2
Navua
09 Aug
Suva
3 : 2
Nasinu
31 Jul
Nasinu
2 : 3
Nadi
26 Jul
Nadroga
1 : 0
Nasinu
19 Jul
Lautoka
1 : 2
Nasinu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 17 12 3 2 53:14 39
2 Labasa 18 11 5 2 44:21 38
3 Rewa 16 10 2 4 39:15 32
4 Lautoka 18 7 5 6 37:35 26
5 Suva 18 6 5 7 38:28 23
6 Navua 17 6 4 7 24:23 22
7 Nadi 18 6 3 9 25:29 21
8 Nasinu 18 6 3 9 27:42 21
9 Nadroga 18 3 4 11 22:50 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 18 2 4 12 20:72 10
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Preliminary)