Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Backnang vs FC Nottingen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg game between Backnang and FC Nottingen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Backnang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Backnang
30%
Draws
28%
FC Nottingen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Backnang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Backnang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on FC Nottingen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Backnang Clean Sheet 11%
FC Nottingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Backnang FC Nottingen
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.93 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs FC Nottingen
2:1
Apr 30, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Backnang
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs FC Nottingen
1:2
May 3, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs FC Nottingen
4:1
Oct 19, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Backnang
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Backnang 18 / 100
FC Nottingen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Backnang FC Nottingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Nottingen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Backnang scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: FC Nottingen conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Backnang remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Backnang VS FC Nottingen
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Backnang

(Home)
03 Oct
Backnang
3 : 1
Bahlinger
26 Sept
Holzhausen FC
0 : 0
Backnang
19 Sept
Backnang
1 : 1
Oberachern
12 Sept
Backnang
1 : 1
Balingen
09 Sept
FC Normannia Gmund
2 : 3
Backnang
Page 1 of 6

FC Nottingen

(Away)
10 Oct
Ravensburg
1 : 3
FC Nottingen
03 Oct
FC Nottingen
10 : 0
Turkspor Neckarsulm
26 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 1
FC Nottingen
18 Sept
FC Nottingen
2 : 3
Young Boys Reutlingen
13 Sept
Turkish SV Singen
4 : 3
FC Nottingen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oberachern 10 7 2 1 22:8 23
2 Backnang 10 6 3 1 25:12 21
3 FC 08 Villingen 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Reutlingen 10 6 2 2 17:12 20
5 Young Boys Reutlingen 10 5 4 1 23:13 19
6 Holzhausen FC 11 5 2 4 18:17 17
7 Ravensburg 10 4 4 2 18:11 16
8 1. FC Muhlhausen 10 5 1 4 22:23 16
9 1. CfR Pforzheim 10 4 2 4 18:17 14
10 Bahlinger 10 3 5 2 15:16 14
11 Karlsruher II 10 3 4 3 16:18 13
12 Balingen 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
13 Teningen 10 4 0 6 16:24 12
14 Turkish SV Singen 10 3 1 6 13:19 10
15 TSV Essingen 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
16 Turkspor Neckarsulm 10 3 0 7 10:26 9
17 FC Nottingen 10 2 0 8 21:19 6
18 FC Normannia Gmund 10 1 0 9 8:29 3
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)