Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Badbaado vs Dekedda

Somalia Somalia

National league
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

1 - 3
FT
Dekedda Logo

Dekedda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dekedda in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dekedda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Badbaado
15%
Draws
58%
Dekedda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dekedda lately — more wins on the board than Badbaado.
  • Dekedda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dekedda here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Dekedda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.93 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Dekedda
1:3
May 11, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Badbaado
3:2
Feb 19, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Badbaado
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Dekedda
0:1
Jul 20, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Dekedda
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 10 / 100
Dekedda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Dekedda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dekedda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Badbaado's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dekedda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Badbaado remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Dekedda
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

Dekedda

(Away)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)