Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Badbaado vs Dekedda

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dekedda in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dekedda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Badbaado
6%
Draws
90%
Dekedda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dekedda lately — more wins on the board than Badbaado.
  • Dekedda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dekedda here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Dekedda
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Dekedda
1:3
May 11, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Badbaado
3:2
Feb 19, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Badbaado
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Dekedda
0:1
Jul 20, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Dekedda
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 10 / 100
Dekedda 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Dekedda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Badbaado's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dekedda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Badbaado remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Dekedda
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
10 Jul
Badbaado
4 : 1
Jazeera
04 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Elman
28 Jun
Jeenyo
2 : 2
Badbaado
Page 1 of 6

Dekedda

(Away)
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
06 Jul
Raadsan
3 : 6
Dekedda
30 Jun
Dekedda
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
25 Jun
Dekedda
1 : 0
Jazeera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka18125148:1441
2Heegan19125247:1541
3Mogadishu City19116236:1239
4Dekedda19107244:2037
5Elman19113532:1336
6Horseed1998237:1735
7Jazeera1855837:3520
8Jeenyo1947830:3019
9Badbaado18521130:3117
10Raadsan18411330:5013
11Jubba19201713:816
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)