Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Badbaado vs Mogadishu City

Somalia Somalia

National league
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

1 - 2
FT
Mogadishu City Logo

Mogadishu City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Badbaado and Mogadishu City finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mogadishu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Badbaado
15%
Draws
28%
Mogadishu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Badbaado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Badbaado haven't matched Mogadishu City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Badbaado a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mogadishu City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 13%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Mogadishu City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Mogadishu City
1:2
May 6, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Mogadishu City
1:2
Apr 22, 2025 National league
Mogadishu City vs Badbaado
4:1
Jan 8, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Mogadishu City
0:2
Jun 30, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Mogadishu City
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 84 / 100
Mogadishu City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Mogadishu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Badbaado scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Mogadishu City conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Mogadishu City registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Mogadishu City
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

Mogadishu City

(Away)
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
31 Jul
Jamus
2 : 1
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)