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Baden vs Muttenz

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
13' Event
Giampa D.
19' Event
Barletta A.

AI Match Summary

Muttenz in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muttenz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Baden
6%
Draws
90%
Muttenz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Muttenz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Muttenz lately — more wins on the board than Baden.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Muttenz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Baden Clean Sheet 12%
Muttenz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baden Muttenz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Baden vs Muttenz
2:3
Jun 19, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Baden vs Muttenz
4:1
May 22, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Muttenz vs Baden
0:0
Apr 8, 2020 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Muttenz vs Baden
0:0
Aug 31, 2019 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Baden vs Muttenz
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baden Compare

Top Goalscorer Giampa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barletta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Muttenz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baden 10 / 100
Muttenz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baden Muttenz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baden's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Muttenz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Baden stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baden VS Muttenz
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%