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Baden vs Thalwil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 Esp Stadium, Fislisbach
Baden Logo

Baden

3 - 1
FT
Thalwil Logo

Thalwil

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Baden in this 1.Liga Classic Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Baden
20%
Draws
36%
Thalwil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Thalwil haven't matched Baden's recent run of results.
  • Baden are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Baden here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Baden Clean Sheet 14%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baden Thalwil
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Thalwil
3:1
Apr 30, 2022 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Baden
0:4
Oct 23, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Thalwil
4:1
Mar 2, 2019 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Baden
1:1
Aug 11, 2018 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Thalwil
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baden 84 / 100
Thalwil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baden Thalwil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baden's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Thalwil has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Baden stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baden VS Thalwil
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baden

(Home)
24 Oct
Baden
6 : 0
FC Widnau
17 Oct
Baden
2 : 1
Wohlen
10 Oct
Gossau
3 : 2
Baden
03 Oct
Baden
2 : 3
Taverne
27 Sept
Locarno
3 : 1
Baden
Page 1 of 7

Thalwil

(Away)
24 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 1
Gossau
17 Oct
Muttenz
4 : 1
Thalwil
10 Oct
Taverne
2 : 0
Thalwil
03 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 2
Locarno
26 Sept
Dietikon
1 : 1
Thalwil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Gallen II 11 8 1 2 24:18 25
2 Tuggen 11 7 3 1 26:13 24
3 Taverne 11 6 3 2 27:14 21
4 Baden 11 6 1 4 27:17 19
5 Thalwil 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
6 Collina d'Oro 11 5 3 3 13:12 18
7 Kosova 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
8 Dietikon 11 4 2 5 14:16 14
9 Gossau 11 4 2 5 16:21 14
10 Wettswil-Bonstetten 11 3 3 5 14:16 12
11 Eschen/Mauren 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
12 Locarno 11 2 5 4 12:13 11
13 Freienbach 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Mendrisio 11 1 6 4 11:15 9
15 Winterthur II 11 3 0 8 11:21 9
16 FC Widnau 11 1 3 7 8:27 6
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)