Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baerum vs Grorud

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Coric K.
90' Event
Sudolski J.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS Supercup game between Baerum and Grorud finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baerum
6%
Draws
4%
Grorud
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grorud come out ahead of Baerum on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Baerum taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal OBOS Supercup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%
Grorud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Grorud
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 OBOS Supercup
Baerum vs Grorud
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 NM Cup
Baerum vs Grorud
3:4
Oct 5, 2019 Division 2 - Group 2
Baerum vs Grorud
1:1
May 5, 2019 Division 2 - Group 2
Grorud vs Baerum
2:1
Sep 22, 2018 Division 2 - Group 1
Baerum vs Grorud
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Coric K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Grorud Compare

Top Goalscorer Sudolski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 83 / 100
Grorud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Grorud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Grorud let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Baerum has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Grorud
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eidsvold TF42208:68
2Grorud41305:36
3Lorenskog41218:85
4Eik-Tonsberg41128:94
5Baerum40227:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skeid431014:610
2Honefoss421113:87
3Asker42029:96
4Ull/Kisa41128:104
5Lokomotiv Oslo40133:141