Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Coric K.
90'
90'
Sudolski J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grorud
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Baerum come out ahead of Grorud on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Baerum have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Grorud, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%
Grorud Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baerum | Grorud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 3.07 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 OBOS Supercup
Baerum vs Grorud
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 NM Cup
Baerum vs Grorud
3:4
Oct 5, 2019 Division 2 - Group 2
Baerum vs Grorud
1:1
May 5, 2019 Division 2 - Group 2
Grorud vs Baerum
2:1
Sep 22, 2018 Division 2 - Group 1
Baerum vs Grorud
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Baerum Compare
Top Goalscorer Coric K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Grorud Compare
Top Goalscorer Sudolski J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Baerum 30 / 100
Grorud 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Baerum Grorud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Baerum scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Grorud let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Baerum went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Baerum VS Grorud
3.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Baerum
(Home) 13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2 Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0 Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1 Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0 Mjondalen
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7 Baerum
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0 Nordstrand
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0 Mjondalen
10 Aug
Baerum
5 : 1 KFUM Oslo 2
25 Jul
Baerum
6 : 3 Valerenga 2
20 Jun
Baerum
7 : 2 Konnerud
Page 1 of 3
Grorud
(Away) 16 Sept
Grorud
2 : 0 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
12 Sept
Honefoss
1 : 1 Grorud
06 Sept
Grorud
4 : 2 Rana FK
30 Aug
Eidsvold TF
0 : 0 Grorud
22 Aug
Lokomotiv Oslo
1 : 5 Grorud
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Honefoss
1 : 1 Grorud
30 Aug
Eidsvold TF
0 : 0 Grorud
22 Aug
Lokomotiv Oslo
1 : 5 Grorud
08 Aug
Trygg/Lade
0 : 1 Grorud
01 Aug
Skeid
1 : 5 Grorud
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold TF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 2 | Grorud | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Lorenskog | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Eik-Tonsberg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 4 |
| 5 | Baerum | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | 2 |
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skeid | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Honefoss | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 7 |
| 3 | Asker | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Ull/Kisa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
