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Baerum vs Innstrandens

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2025
Sat, Sep 27, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baerum host Innstrandens in the Division 3 - Group 1 2025. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Baerum at 3.06 goals for, 1.83 against; Innstrandens at 1 for, 4 against. Head-to-head, Baerum have won 0 to Innstrandens's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.98 vs 1.56, favoring Baerum. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Baerum
15%
Draws
23%
Innstrandens
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Innstrandens haven't matched Baerum's recent run of results.
  • Baerum are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Baerum Clean Sheet 15%
Innstrandens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Innstrandens
Matches Played 36 4
Wins 19 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 3.06 1
Goals Conceded 1.83 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Innstrandens
0:0
May 3, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Innstrandens vs Baerum
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 84 / 100
Innstrandens 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Innstrandens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: Innstrandens conceded in 75% of 4 recent games.

Baerum has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Innstrandens registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum

(Home)
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7
Baerum
Page 1 of 8

Innstrandens

(Away)
26 Mar
Innstrandens
0 : 8
Bodo/Glimt
27 Oct
Innstrandens
0 : 4
Sprint-Jeloy
20 Oct
Harstad
0 : 1
Innstrandens
13 Oct
Innstrandens
3 : 4
Skjervoy