Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baerum vs Konnerud

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Skistad E.
22' Event
Victorio A.
26' Event
Bransdal L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 game between Baerum and Konnerud finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baerum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Baerum
20%
Draws
29%
Konnerud
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baerum come out ahead of Konnerud on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Baerum's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Baerum Clean Sheet 68%
Konnerud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Konnerud
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 1
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 3 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Konnerud vs Baerum
1:1
Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Konnerud
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Victorio A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Bransdal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Konnerud Compare

Top Goalscorer Skistad E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 95 / 100
Konnerud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Konnerud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Konnerud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 25 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Baerum has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Konnerud
3.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum

(Home)
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
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Konnerud

(Away)
19 Sept
Frigg
2 : 0
Konnerud
12 Sept
Konnerud
3 : 2
Grei
05 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Konnerud
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
15 Aug
Gamle Oslo
7 : 1
Konnerud
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