Sport Picks

Norway

Division 3 - Group 1

Konnerud

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Baerum play Konnerud in the Division 3 - Group 1. Baerum are favorites here. Recently, Baerum averaged 2.76 goals scored and 2 conceded. Konnerud averaged 1.59 goals scored and 3.06 conceded. In past meetings, Baerum won 1, Konnerud won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 7:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Baerum and 2.06 for Konnerud. This points to a Baerum double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Baerum

16%

Draws

20%

Konnerud

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Baerum picked up more points recently compared to Konnerud.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 96%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Konnerud Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baerum	Konnerud
Matches Played	29	17
Wins	12	4
Draws	7	0
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	2.76	1.59
Goals Conceded	2	3.06
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1

Baerum vs Konnerud

Possession: 46% - 40% Cards: 3 - 0

7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Victorio A.

4 Goals

Assists Leader Bransdal L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Konnerud Compare

Top Goalscorer Skistad E.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 60 / 100

Konnerud 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baerum Konnerud

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (1)

Secondary Pick Baerum & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.6%

1.79

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.30

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Baerum attacking → ← attacking Konnerud

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Konnerud let in goals in 100% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Baerum went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Konnerud lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 12

2.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50