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Baerum vs Mjondalen 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Markovic A.
33' Event
Foss-Erstad T.
36' Event
Markovic A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2024 game between Baerum and Mjondalen 2 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baerum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Baerum
15%
Draws
85%
Mjondalen 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mjondalen 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baerum come out ahead of Mjondalen 2 on wins alone.
  • Baerum are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Baerum Clean Sheet 15%
Mjondalen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Mjondalen 2
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 2.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Baerum vs Mjondalen 2
4:3
Apr 16, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Mjondalen 2 vs Baerum
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Markovic A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arvesen C. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Mjondalen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Foss-Erstad T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vassbotn Brath J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 35 / 100
Mjondalen 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Mjondalen 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum scored in 95% of their last 39 games.

Mjondalen 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Mjondalen 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS -
3.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum

(Home)
04 Oct
Baerum
1 : 2
Ready
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5
Lillestrom
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
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Mjondalen 2

(Away)
27 Oct
Mjondalen 2
3 : 2
Skeid 2
20 Oct
Sarpsborg 08 2
8 : 1
Mjondalen 2
08 Oct
Mjondalen 2
3 : 1
Ullern
29 Sept
Asker
2 : 1
Mjondalen 2
22 Sept
Mjondalen 2
0 : 1
Nordstrand
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