Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Bransdal L.
40'
40'
Kaba V. C.
45'
45'
Coric K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mjondalen lately — more wins on the board than Baerum.
- Model gives Baerum a 46% chance of winning this.
- Mjondalen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mjondalen, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Baerum Clean Sheet 15%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baerum | Mjondalen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.96 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 NM Cup
Baerum vs Mjondalen
4:0
Nov 15, 2014 OBOS-ligaen
Mjondalen vs Baerum
4:1
Nov 2, 2014 OBOS-ligaen
Mjondalen vs Baerum
1:1
Jun 22, 2014 OBOS-ligaen
Baerum vs Mjondalen
1:3
Sep 23, 2012 OBOS-ligaen
Baerum vs Mjondalen
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Baerum Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaba V. C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bransdal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Mjondalen Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Baerum 39 / 100
Mjondalen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Baerum Mjondalen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Baerum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Baerum scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Mjondalen conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Baerum has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Baerum VS Mjondalen
3.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Baerum
(Home) 19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2 Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2 Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0 Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1 Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0 Mjondalen
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2 Union Carl Berner
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0 Nordstrand
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0 Mjondalen
10 Aug
Baerum
5 : 1 KFUM Oslo 2
25 Jul
Baerum
6 : 3 Valerenga 2
Page 1 of 3
Mjondalen
(Away) 19 Sept
Mjondalen
3 : 1 Sotra
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3 Mjondalen
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3 Jerv
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0 Mjondalen
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0 Mjondalen
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3 Mjondalen
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0 Mjondalen
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0 Mjondalen
08 Aug
Kvik Halden
0 : 1 Mjondalen
25 Jul
Brattvag
3 : 5 Mjondalen
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL -
Viking -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
TBD -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
TBD -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
TBD -
TBD -
Raufoss -
Start -
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
TBD -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
TBD -
Valerenga -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
