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Baerum vs Skeid 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bransdal L.
12' Event
Lunde D.
23' Event
Lunde D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2024 game between Baerum and Skeid 2 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skeid 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Baerum
20%
Draws
40%
Skeid 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baerum come out ahead of Skeid 2 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Baerum Clean Sheet 16%
Skeid 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Skeid 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.83 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Baerum vs Skeid 2
1:3
Jun 29, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Skeid 2 vs Baerum
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Bransdal L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Skeid 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lunde D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Qzaibri A. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 31 / 100
Skeid 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Skeid 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Skeid 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Skeid 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum

(Home)
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
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Skeid 2

(Away)
27 Oct
Mjondalen 2
3 : 2
Skeid 2
20 Oct
Skeid 2
2 : 4
KFUM Oslo 2
06 Oct
Flint
4 : 3
Skeid 2
29 Sept
Baerum
1 : 3
Skeid 2
23 Sept
Skeid 2
0 : 0
Assiden
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