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Baerum vs Valerenga 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Markovic O.
22' Event
Bransdal L.
25' Event
Markovic O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 game between Baerum and Valerenga 2 finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baerum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Baerum
15%
Draws
85%
Valerenga 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valerenga 2 come out ahead of Baerum on wins alone.
  • Model gives Valerenga 2 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Valerenga 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2.79 2.55
Goals Conceded 2 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Valerenga 2 vs Baerum
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Valerenga 2
6:3
Oct 6, 2022 Division 2 - Group 2
Valerenga 2 vs Baerum
4:0
Jun 20, 2022 Division 2 - Group 2
Baerum vs Valerenga 2
4:0
Nov 6, 2021 Division 2 - Group 1
Baerum vs Valerenga 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Markovic O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bransdal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Valerenga 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 10 / 100
Valerenga 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Valerenga 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baerum scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Valerenga 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Valerenga 2 registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Valerenga 2
2.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum

(Home)
04 Oct
Baerum
1 : 2
Ready
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5
Lillestrom
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
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Valerenga 2

(Away)
03 Oct
Nordstrand
0 : 3
Valerenga 2
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
19 Sept
Ullern
2 : 1
Valerenga 2
12 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Gamle Oslo
05 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Konnerud
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