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Baerum vs Valerenga 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Markovic O.
22' Event
Bransdal L.
25' Event
Markovic O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 game between Baerum and Valerenga 2 finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baerum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baerum
6%
Draws
4%
Valerenga 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valerenga 2 come out ahead of Baerum on wins alone.
  • Model gives Baerum a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Valerenga 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Valerenga 2
6:3
Oct 6, 2022 Division 2 - Group 2
Valerenga 2 vs Baerum
4:0
Jun 20, 2022 Division 2 - Group 2
Baerum vs Valerenga 2
4:0
Nov 6, 2021 Division 2 - Group 1
Baerum vs Valerenga 2
2:2
Jun 21, 2021 Division 2 - Group 1
Valerenga 2 vs Baerum
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Markovic O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bransdal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Valerenga 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 83 / 100
Valerenga 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Valerenga 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baerum scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Valerenga 2 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Baerum has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Valerenga 2
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum

(Home)
25 Jul
Baerum
6 : 3
Valerenga 2
27 Jun
Frigg
1 : 1
Baerum
20 Jun
Baerum
7 : 2
Konnerud
14 Jun
KFUM Oslo 2
1 : 4
Baerum
30 May
Baerum
5 : 0
Grei
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Valerenga 2

(Away)
25 Jul
Baerum
6 : 3
Valerenga 2
26 Jun
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Union Carl Berner
21 Jun
Ready
1 : 2
Valerenga 2
06 Jun
Valerenga 2
3 : 2
Nordstrand
31 May
Lokomotiv Oslo
0 : 1
Valerenga 2
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