Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Baghdad advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Naft Al-Basra haven't matched Baghdad's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Baghdad's way, sitting at 36%.
- Baghdad have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Baghdad, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baghdad | Naft Al-Basra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.84 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Baghdad Compare
Naft Al-Basra Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Baghdad scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Naft Al-Basra conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Difficult form: Naft Al-Basra registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
