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Baghpat vs Chhaygaon

India India

I-League 3
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Chithung A.
27' Event
Tamnag P.
36' Event
Chithung A.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 3 game between Baghpat and Chhaygaon finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baghpat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baghpat
6%
Draws
4%
Chhaygaon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baghpat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Baghpat has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chhaygaon.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Baghpat.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in I-League 3 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Baghpat Clean Sheet 68%
Chhaygaon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baghpat Chhaygaon
Matches Played 9 8
Wins 6 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 2.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 I-League 3
Baghpat vs Chhaygaon
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baghpat Compare

Top Goalscorer Chithung A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Meitei C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Chhaygaon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamnag P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doley M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baghpat 95 / 100
Chhaygaon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baghpat Chhaygaon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baghpat scored in 67% of their last 9 games.

Chhaygaon let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Baghpat went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chhaygaon lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baghpat VS Chhaygaon
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Baghpat53118:410
2Raengdai53119:610
3Sunrise Club52309:29
4KLASA51314:36
5TRAU FC50323:63
6Chhaygaon50148:201