Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baghpat vs Chhaygaon

India India

I-League 3
Baghpat Logo

Baghpat

4 - 2
FT
Chhaygaon Logo

Chhaygaon

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Chithung A.
27' Event
Tamnag P.
36' Event
Chithung A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I-League 3 game between Baghpat and Chhaygaon finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baghpat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Baghpat
15%
Draws
21%
Chhaygaon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baghpat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Baghpat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Baghpat taking it.
  • Regular I-League 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Baghpat Clean Sheet 20%
Chhaygaon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baghpat Chhaygaon
Matches Played 12 8
Wins 6 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 I-League 3
Baghpat vs Chhaygaon
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baghpat Compare

Top Goalscorer Chithung A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Meitei C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Chhaygaon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamnag P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doley M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baghpat 42 / 100
Chhaygaon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baghpat Chhaygaon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Chhaygaon let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Away concern: Chhaygaon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Baghpat scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Scoring Trends

Baghpat VS Chhaygaon
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baghpat

(Home)
05 Aug
Army Red
4 : 0
Baghpat
30 Jul
Samaleswari SC
4 : 1
Baghpat
27 Jul
Mohammedan
4 : 0
Baghpat
24 May
Sunrise Club
1 : 0
Baghpat
22 May
Baghpat
4 : 2
Chhaygaon
Page 1 of 3

Chhaygaon

(Away)
24 May
TRAU FC
2 : 2
Chhaygaon
22 May
Baghpat
4 : 2
Chhaygaon
20 May
Chhaygaon
1 : 7
Sunrise Club
18 May
Chhaygaon
1 : 3
KLASA
16 May
Raengdai
4 : 2
Chhaygaon
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baghpat 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
2 Raengdai 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
3 Sunrise Club 5 2 3 0 9:2 9
4 KLASA 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
5 TRAU FC 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
6 Chhaygaon 5 0 1 4 8:20 1
Promotion - I-League 2 (Main)