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Baglan Dragons vs Pure Swansea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Coughlin C.
28' Event
Coughlin C.
56' Event
Coughlin C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South game between Baglan Dragons and Pure Swansea finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pure Swansea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Baglan Dragons
35%
Draws
37%
Pure Swansea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Baglan Dragons haven't matched Pure Swansea's recent run of results.
  • Pure Swansea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 10%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baglan Dragons Pure Swansea
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Pure Swansea
0:3
Sep 21, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Pure Swansea vs Baglan Dragons
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baglan Dragons Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pure Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlin C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baglan Dragons 10 / 100
Pure Swansea 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baglan Dragons Pure Swansea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pure Swansea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Baglan Dragons stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Baglan Dragons scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baglan Dragons VS Pure Swansea
1 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Baglan Dragons

(Home)
10 Oct
Baglan Dragons
1 : 1
Pontypridd United
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2
Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6

Pure Swansea

(Away)
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1
Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)