Sport Picks
Baglan Dragons vs Treowen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Baglan Dragons host Treowen in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Treowen have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Baglan Dragons have conceded 1.74 and scored 0.87. Head-to-head, Baglan Dragons have won 0 to Treowen's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.50, favoring Treowen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Treowen carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Baglan Dragons's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Treowen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Treowen conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Baglan Dragons has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Treowen lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Baglan Dragons
(Home)Treowen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 2 |
