Sport Picks
Bahia vs Chapecoense-SC
Brazil
Serie A Betano Arena Fonte Nova 
AI Match Summary
Bahia play Chapecoense-SC in the Serie A Betano. Bahia are favorites here. Recently, Bahia averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Chapecoense-SC averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Bahia won 2, Chapecoense-SC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 1, 2022 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Bahia and 1.00 for Chapecoense-SC. This points to a Bahia double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Bahia picked up more points recently compared to Chapecoense-SC.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia | Chapecoense-SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bahia scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Chapecoense-SC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Bahia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Chapecoense-SC lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 31 |
| 4 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 30 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 6 | Bahia | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | 24 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | 22 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | 20 |
| 18 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | 9 |