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Bahia de Feira vs America PE

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Alex Cazumba
37' Event
Martins Y.
76' Event
Ebinho

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2019 game between Bahia de Feira and America PE finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia de Feira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Bahia de Feira
11%
Draws
80%
America PE
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: America PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • America PE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans America PE's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet 10%
America PE Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia de Feira America PE
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.5 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2019 Serie D
Bahia de Feira vs America PE
3:1
May 5, 2019 Serie D
America PE vs Bahia de Feira
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia de Feira Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Cazumba
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ebinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

America PE Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia de Feira 10 / 100
America PE 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia de Feira America PE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia de Feira found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

America PE let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Bahia de Feira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahia de Feira VS America PE
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
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