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Bahia de Feira vs Camacariense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Bahia de Feira advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bahia de Feira
15%
Draws
34%
Camacariense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia de Feira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bahia de Feira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Bahia de Feira taking it.
  • Bahia de Feira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahia de Feira, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet 20%
Camacariense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia de Feira Camacariense
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 15 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.69 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2009 Baiano 2
Camacariense vs Bahia de Feira
0:1
Jul 4, 2009 Baiano 2
Bahia de Feira vs Camacariense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia de Feira 67 / 100
Camacariense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia de Feira Camacariense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia de Feira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camacariense has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Bahia de Feira scored in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Camacariense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahia de Feira VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia de Feira

(Home)
22 Feb
Jacuipense
3 : 1
Bahia de Feira
18 Feb
Vitoria
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
11 Feb
Bahia de Feira
6 : 1
Barcelona FC
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
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Camacariense

(Away)
18 Jul
Camacariense
3 : 5
Botafogo BA
11 Jul
Grapiuna
1 : 1
Camacariense
08 Jul
Barcelona FC
3 : 2
Camacariense
04 Jul
Camacariense
3 : 1
Camacari
27 Jun
Colo Colo
1 : 0
Camacariense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Juazeirense 4
Guanambi AC 1
Bahia de Feira 3
Camacariense 1
Final
Juazeirense 3
Bahia de Feira 3