Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bahia U17 vs Fluminense U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17
Wed, Sep 30, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bahia U17 host Fluminense U17 in the Brasileiro U17. Fluminense U17 are expected to control this from the start. Fluminense U17 have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Bahia U17 have conceded 2.1 and scored 1.61. Past meetings favor Fluminense U17 slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 27, 2025, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.19, favoring Fluminense U17. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bahia U17
30%
Draws
47%
Fluminense U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fluminense U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fluminense U17's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bahia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Fluminense U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia U17 Fluminense U17
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.61 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Bahia U17 vs Fluminense U17
0:2
Aug 28, 2024 Brasileiro U17
Bahia U17 vs Fluminense U17
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia U17 22 / 100
Fluminense U17 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia U17 Fluminense U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bahia U17 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Bahia U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Fluminense U17 conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bahia U17 VS Fluminense U17
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia U17

(Home)
22 Sept
Cruzeiro U17
4 : 0
Bahia U17
15 Sept
Vasco U17
1 : 1
Bahia U17
09 Sept
Bahia U17
1 : 1
Flamengo RJ U17
05 Sept
Botafogo RJ U17
0 : 4
Bahia U17
02 Sept
Bahia U17
1 : 2
Atletico-MG U17
Page 1 of 7

Fluminense U17

(Away)
22 Sept
Fluminense U17
0 : 0
Athletico-PR U17
14 Sept
Fluminense U17
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ U17
09 Sept
America MG U17
1 : 3
Fluminense U17
06 Sept
Fluminense U17
1 : 2
Cruzeiro U17
02 Sept
EC Juventude U17
0 : 2
Fluminense U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U17 18 13 2 3 51:26 41
2 Fluminense U17 18 11 4 3 35:15 37
3 Corinthians U17 18 11 3 4 50:20 36
4 Bragantino U17 18 11 3 4 52:26 36
5 Cruzeiro U17 18 10 4 4 32:24 34
6 Fortaleza U17 18 9 3 6 27:32 30
7 Flamengo RJ U17 18 8 6 4 36:22 30
8 Atletico-MG U17 18 8 5 5 37:23 29
9 Athletico-PR U17 18 8 5 5 34:29 29
10 Santos U17 18 8 3 7 30:33 27
11 Sao Paulo U17 18 6 9 3 24:18 27
12 Botafogo RJ U17 18 7 4 7 37:40 25
13 Internacional U17 18 7 2 9 21:31 23
14 Vasco U17 18 6 5 7 29:22 23
15 America MG U17 18 5 4 9 30:26 19
16 Bahia U17 18 4 6 8 29:33 18
17 EC Juventude U17 18 4 4 10 17:45 16
18 Vitoria U17 18 3 1 14 19:41 10
19 Gremio U17 18 3 1 14 15:50 10
20 Atletico GO U17 18 1 0 17 16:65 3
Promotion - Brasileiro U17 (Play Offs)