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Bahia U20 vs Jacobina U20

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Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bahia U20 play Jacobina U20 in the Baiano U20. Bahia U20 are favorites here. Recently, Bahia U20 averaged 2.94 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Jacobina U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Bahia U20 won 3, Jacobina U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.21 for Bahia U20 and 1.13 for Jacobina U20. This points to a Bahia U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Bahia U20
15%
Draws
26%
Jacobina U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bahia U20 picked up more points recently compared to Jacobina U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.21 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 21%
Jacobina U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia U20 Jacobina U20
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 21 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.94 1
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Jacobina U20
6:2
Jun 28, 2026 Baiano U20
Jacobina U20 vs Bahia U20
0:3
May 21, 2026 Baiano U20
Jacobina U20 vs Bahia U20
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Jacobina U20
6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia U20 57 / 100
Jacobina U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia U20 Jacobina U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bahia U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bahia U20 attacking → ← attacking Jacobina U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia U20 scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Jacobina U20 let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Bahia U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jacobina U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 34
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.43