Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Andrey Fernandes
41'
41'
Joao Andrade
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Brasileiro U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
15%
44%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Vasco U20 have won more games recently than Bahia U20.
- Win probability leans Bahia U20's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Brasileiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia U20 | Vasco U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 3.34 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 17, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Bahia U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1
Apr 10, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Bahia U20 vs Vasco U20
5:1
Jul 28, 2021 Brasileiro U20
Bahia U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Jan 3, 2021 Copa do Brasil U20
Vasco U20 vs Bahia U20
3:3
Dec 27, 2020 Copa do Brasil U20
Bahia U20 vs Vasco U20
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahia U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 2.84
Avg xA / game 1.84
Vasco U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Andrey Fernandes
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahia U20 85 / 100
Vasco U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahia U20 Vasco U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bahia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bahia U20's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Bahia U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Vasco U20 let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Bahia U20 VS Vasco U20
6.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahia U20
(Home) 08 Sept
Bahia U20
16 : 0 Alagoinhas U20
01 Aug
Bahia U20
2 : 3 Fluminense de Feira U20
25 Jul
Fluminense de Feira U20
0 : 8 Bahia U20
18 Jul
Bahia U20
7 : 0 Camacariense U20
11 Jul
Camacariense U20
1 : 6 Bahia U20
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Bahia U20
16 : 0 Alagoinhas U20
01 Aug
Bahia U20
2 : 3 Fluminense de Feira U20
18 Jul
Bahia U20
7 : 0 Camacariense U20
04 Jul
Bahia U20
6 : 2 Jacobina U20
01 Jul
Bahia U20
3 : 1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
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Vasco U20
(Away) 03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1 Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1 Vasco U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0 Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2 Vasco U20
17 Sept
Vasco U20
11 : 0 Rio Branco ES U20
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1 Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1 Vasco U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2 Vasco U20
04 Sept
Palmeiras U20
0 : 2 Vasco U20
21 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 1 Vasco U20
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 54:23 | 44 |
| 2 | Vasco U20 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 36:19 | 36 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ U20 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 32:20 | 36 |
| 4 | Bragantino U20 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 49:35 | 34 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR U20 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 39:25 | 32 |
| 6 | Santos U20 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29:24 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 35:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Corinthians U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31:25 | 29 |
| 9 | Bahia U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32:30 | 29 |
| 10 | Flamengo RJ U20 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 28:29 | 28 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo U20 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 25 |
| 12 | America MG U20 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25:37 | 25 |
| 13 | Cuiaba U20 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:27 | 21 |
| 14 | Vitoria U20 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20:31 | 20 |
| 15 | Gremio U20 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 31:42 | 19 |
| 16 | Fluminense U20 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:31 | 19 |
| 17 | EC Juventude U20 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:39 | 18 |
| 18 | Criciuma U20 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 24:40 | 17 |
| 19 | Avai U20 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 24:43 | 16 |
| 20 | Fortaleza U20 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 18:25 | 15 |
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs)
