Sport Picks
Bahia vs Corinthians Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie A Betano Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador 
Match Events
8'
8'
Angileri F.
Assist: Andre
11'
11'
Veliz A.
16'
16'
Angileri F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Bahia and Corinthians finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Bahia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Bahia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Bahia Clean Sheet 68%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Corinthians
1:1
Jan 28, 2026 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Bahia
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Bahia
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Corinthians
1:1
Dec 3, 2024 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Bahia
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer David Duarte
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Corinthians Compare
Top Goalscorer Angileri F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahia 95 / 100
Corinthians 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahia Corinthians
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bahia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bahia scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Corinthians let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Bahia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bahia VS Corinthians
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahia
(Home) 20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1 Remo
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1 Remo
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
09 Aug
Bahia
0 : 0 Vasco
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 3
Corinthians
(Away) 20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3 Fluminense
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Corinthians
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1 Corinthians
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Corinthians
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1 Corinthians
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Corinthians
14 Aug
Rosario Central
0 : 0 Corinthians
09 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 2 Corinthians
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
