Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Angileri F.
Assist: Andre
11'
11'
Veliz A.
16'
16'
Angileri F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Bahia and Corinthians finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bahia's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Corinthians have produced (1).
- Bahia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bahia Clean Sheet 20%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Corinthians
1:1
Jan 28, 2026 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Bahia
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Bahia
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Corinthians
1:1
Dec 3, 2024 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Bahia
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer David Duarte
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Corinthians Compare
Top Goalscorer Angileri F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahia 42 / 100
Corinthians 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahia Corinthians
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bahia scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Bahia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Corinthians has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bahia VS Corinthians
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahia
(Home) 26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
21 Jul
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Bahia
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
04 Jul
Bahia
4 : 1 Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
04 Jul
Bahia
4 : 1 Montevideo City
30 May
Bahia
2 : 1 Botafogo RJ
17 May
Bahia
1 : 1 Gremio
Page 1 of 4
Corinthians
(Away) 26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
23 Jul
Corinthians
3 : 0 Remo
12 Jul
FC Cascavel
1 : 1 Corinthians
30 May
Gremio
1 : 3 Corinthians
28 May
Corinthians
0 : 2 Platense
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
12 Jul
FC Cascavel
1 : 1 Corinthians
30 May
Gremio
1 : 3 Corinthians
22 May
Penarol
1 : 1 Corinthians
17 May
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1 Corinthians
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34:16 | 44 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 36:17 | 38 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 36 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30:25 | 33 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 6 | Bahia | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 28 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 28 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26:30 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | 26 |
| 14 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | 22 |
| 15 | Gremio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | 21 |
| 18 | Remo | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:32 | 21 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | 20 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | 10 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
