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Bahia vs Juazeirense

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Ze Romario
24' Event
Willian Jose
34' Event
Erick Pulga

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Bahia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bahia
11%
Draws
9%
Juazeirense
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bahia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Juazeirense haven't matched Bahia's recent run of results.
  • Bahia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Bahia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Bahia Clean Sheet 68%
Juazeirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia Juazeirense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Baiano
Bahia vs Juazeirense
4:2
Feb 8, 2026 Baiano
Juazeirense vs Bahia
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Baiano
Bahia vs Juazeirense
2:0
Feb 5, 2025 Copa do Nordeste
Juazeirense vs Bahia
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Baiano
Juazeirense vs Bahia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Jose
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erick Pulga
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Juazeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Bino
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia 86 / 100
Juazeirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia Juazeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Juazeirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Bahia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahia VS Juazeirense
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia

(Home)
30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0
Bahia
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1
Corinthians
21 Jul
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Bahia
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0
Bahia
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Juazeirense

(Away)
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1
Juazeirense
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Jacuipense
2 : 2
Juazeirense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bahia4
Juazeirense2
Vitoria2
Jacuipense1
Final
Bahia2
Vitoria1