Sport Picks
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Bahir Dar Kenema host Ethiopian Insurance in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Bahir Dar Kenema have averaged 0.82 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Ethiopian Insurance's 0.96 scored and 0.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Bahir Dar Kenema slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.76, favoring Bahir Dar Kenema. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Bahir Dar Kenema haven't matched Ethiopian Insurance's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahir Dar Kenema | Ethiopian Insurance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 14 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ethiopian Insurance conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Bahir Dar Kenema stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Ethiopian Insurance registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Bahir Dar Kenema's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Bahir Dar Kenema
(Home)Ethiopian Insurance
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Mechal SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Welayta Dicha | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 5 |
| 7 | Sheger Ketema FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 8 | Adama City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 9 | Halaba Ketema FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:8 | 5 |
| 10 | Ethiopian Insurance | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 11 | Hadiya Hossana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 12 | St. Georges | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 14 | Hawassa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 15 | Fasil Kenema | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 17 | Gamo Chencha FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 18 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
