Sport Picks
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
No DataNo live events recorded yet.
AI Match Summary
Bahir Dar Kenema host Negele Arsi Ketema FC in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Negele Arsi Ketema FC have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Bahir Dar Kenema have conceded 0.5 and scored 0.75. Head-to-head, Bahir Dar Kenema have won 0 to Negele Arsi Ketema FC's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.75) point toward Negele Arsi Ketema FC. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Negele Arsi Ketema FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bahir Dar Kenema.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahir Dar Kenema | Negele Arsi Ketema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 18 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bahir Dar Kenema scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 0.00 goals.
Bahir Dar Kenema went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |