Sport Picks
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Bahir Dar Kenema host Welwalo Adigrat in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Bahir Dar Kenema at 0.71 goals for, 0.71 against; Welwalo Adigrat at 1.03 for, 0.81 against. Past meetings favor Bahir Dar Kenema slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.56 - 0.94) back Welwalo Adigrat to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Welwalo Adigrat come out ahead of Bahir Dar Kenema on wins alone.
- 29% — that's where the model lands on Bahir Dar Kenema taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahir Dar Kenema | Welwalo Adigrat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 15 | 14 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bahir Dar Kenema has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Bahir Dar Kenema's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Welwalo Adigrat let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.
H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Bahir Dar Kenema
(Home)Welwalo Adigrat
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Halaba Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Ethiopian Insurance | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Adama City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sheger Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 8 | Mechal SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Welayta Dicha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 11 | Fasil Kenema | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 12 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | St. Georges | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Hawassa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Hadiya Hossana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
