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Bahla vs Al Nasr

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ogoulola I.
45' Event
Ngana W.
51' Event
Al Ghatrifi K.

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bahla
15%
Draws
49%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Al Nasr have won more games recently than Bahla.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bahla taking it.
  • Regular Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Nasr here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bahla Clean Sheet 68%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahla Al Nasr
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.66 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Professional League
Bahla vs Al Nasr
1:3
Jan 25, 2026 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Bahla
3:2
Oct 10, 2025 FA Cup
Al Nasr vs Bahla
3:0
Apr 27, 2025 Professional League
Bahla vs Al Nasr
0:1
Oct 28, 2024 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Bahla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahla Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngana W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogoulola I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Ghatrifi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahla 68 / 100
Al Nasr 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahla Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahla's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Bahla has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Nasr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bahla VS Al Nasr
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahla

(Home)
11 Sept
Sur Club
1 : 3
Bahla
05 Sept
Saham
1 : 0
Bahla
30 Aug
Bahla
1 : 3
Al Seeb
24 Aug
Bahla
3 : 0
Dhofar
18 Aug
Sur Club
0 : 5
Bahla
Page 1 of 6

Al Nasr

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al-Msnaa
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
30 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Fanja SC
18 Aug
Dhofar
3 : 1
Al Nasr
23 May
Saham
0 : 2
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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