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Stadium Background

Bahrain vs China

World World

World Championship 2026 Bahrain National Stadium, Riffa
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Li Lei In: Hu H.
Out: Li Lei
20'
Abduweli Behram
37'
Lin Liangming

AI Match Summary

China in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored China.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bahrain
20%
Draws
46%
China
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to China lately — more wins on the board than Bahrain.
  • Win probability leans China's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 15%
China Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain China
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship
China vs Bahrain
1:0
Nov 14, 2024 World Championship
Bahrain vs China
0:1
Sep 10, 2018 Friendly International
Bahrain vs China
0:0
Aug 11, 2010 Friendly International
China vs Bahrain
1:1
Jul 17, 2004 Asian Cup
China vs Bahrain
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

China Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Yuning
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain 19 / 100
China 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain China

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: China conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Bahrain found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Bahrain has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain VS China
0.75 Goals Scored 1.2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain

(Home)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
06 Dec
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
03 Dec
Iraq
2 : 1
Bahrain
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
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China

(Away)
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
05 Jun
Singapore
1 : 2
China
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
China
2 : 0
Curacao
26 Jan
Uzbekistan
2 : 2
China
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 10 7 2 1 19:8 23
2 Uzbekistan 10 6 3 1 14:7 21
3 United Arab Emirates 10 4 3 3 15:8 15
4 Qatar 10 4 1 5 17:24 13
5 Kyrgyzstan 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
6 North Korea 10 0 3 7 9:21 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Jordan 10 4 4 2 16:8 16
3 Iraq 10 4 3 3 9:9 15
4 Oman 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
5 Palestine 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
6 Kuwait 10 0 5 5 7:20 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 10 7 2 1 30:3 23
2 Australia 10 5 4 1 16:7 19
3 Saudi Arabia 10 3 4 3 7:8 13
4 Indonesia 10 3 3 4 9:20 12
5 China 10 3 0 7 7:20 9
6 Bahrain 10 1 3 6 5:16 6
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)