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Bahrain vs Nepal

World World

World Championship 2026 Bahrain National Stadium, Riffa
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Baqer S. M.
18' Event
Yusuf
(Penalty)
36' Event
Al Aswad K.
Assist: Marhoon M.

AI Match Summary

Bahrain in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahrain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Bahrain
15%
Draws
12%
Nepal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahrain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bahrain lately — more wins on the board than Nepal.
  • Win probability leans Bahrain's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 20%
Nepal Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain Nepal
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 World Championship
Bahrain vs Nepal
3:0
Mar 21, 2024 World Championship
Nepal vs Bahrain
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain Compare

Top Goalscorer Baqer S. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Aswad K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Nepal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain 42 / 100
Nepal 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain Nepal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bahrain scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Nepal let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Nepal lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain VS Nepal
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain

(Home)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
06 Dec
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
03 Dec
Iraq
2 : 1
Bahrain
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
Page 1 of 6

Nepal

(Away)
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1
Malaysia
13 Nov
Bangladesh
2 : 2
Nepal
14 Oct
Nepal
0 : 1
Vietnam
09 Oct
Vietnam
3 : 1
Nepal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar 6 5 1 0 18:3 16
2 Kuwait 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
3 Afghanistan 6 1 2 3 3:14 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)
Promotion - Asian Cup (Third round)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 6 6 0 0 24:0 18
2 North Korea 6 3 0 3 11:7 9
3 Syria 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
4 Myanmar 6 0 1 5 3:28 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)
Promotion - Asian Cup (Third round)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea 6 5 1 0 20:1 16
2 China 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
3 Thailand 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
4 Singapore 6 0 1 5 5:24 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)
Promotion - Asian Cup (Third round)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman 6 4 1 1 11:2 13
2 Kyrgyzstan 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 Malaysia 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 2:17 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)
Promotion - Asian Cup (Third round)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 6 4 2 0 16:4 14
2 Uzbekistan 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
3 Turkmenistan 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
4 Hong Kong 6 0 2 4 4:15 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)
Promotion - Asian Cup (Third round)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Indonesia 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
3 Vietnam 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
4 Philippines 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)
Promotion - Asian Cup (Third round)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 6 4 1 1 16:4 13
2 Saudi Arabia 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
3 Tajikistan 6 2 2 2 11:7 8
4 Pakistan 6 0 0 6 1:26 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)
Promotion - Asian Cup (Third round)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Bahrain 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 Yemen 6 1 2 3 5:9 5
4 Nepal 6 0 1 5 2:20 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)
Promotion - Asian Cup (Third round)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 6 6 0 0 22:0 18
2 Palestine 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 Lebanon 6 1 3 2 5:8 6
4 Bangladesh 6 0 1 5 1:20 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)
Promotion - Asian Cup (Third round)