Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baia de Pemba vs AD Pemba

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Baia de Pemba Logo

Baia de Pemba

0 - 1
FT
AD Pemba Logo

AD Pemba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Baia de Pemba and AD Pemba finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Pemba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Baia de Pemba
15%
Draws
40%
AD Pemba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baia de Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Baia de Pemba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 20%
AD Pemba Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia de Pemba AD Pemba
Matches Played 26 17
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.69 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs AD Pemba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia de Pemba 31 / 100
AD Pemba 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia de Pemba AD Pemba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia de Pemba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Pemba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 17 matches.

Solid form: Baia de Pemba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Baia de Pemba scored in 42% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Baia de Pemba VS AD Pemba
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baia de Pemba

(Home)
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0
Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
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AD Pemba

(Away)
16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0
AD Pemba
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
18 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Maxaquene
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
5 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
6 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 17 1 7 9 8:19 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)