Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baia de Pemba vs ENH Vilankulo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Carvalho I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2025 game between Baia de Pemba and ENH Vilankulo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baia de Pemba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Baia de Pemba
35%
Draws
30%
ENH Vilankulo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • ENH Vilankulo's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what Baia de Pemba have produced (0.84).
  • Baia de Pemba are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Mocambola 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 20%
ENH Vilankulo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia de Pemba ENH Vilankulo
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 14
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.84 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs ENH Vilankulo
2:2
Nov 24, 2025 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs ENH Vilankulo
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Baia de Pemba
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Baia de Pemba
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs ENH Vilankulo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia de Pemba 42 / 100
ENH Vilankulo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia de Pemba ENH Vilankulo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: ENH Vilankulo conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Baia de Pemba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Baia de Pemba scored in 44% of their last 25 games.

Scoring Trends

Baia de Pemba VS ENH Vilankulo
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baia de Pemba

(Home)
14 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Maxaquene
09 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
1 : 0
Baia de Pemba
06 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
Baia de Pemba
29 Jul
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Sofala
25 Jul
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
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ENH Vilankulo

(Away)
16 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
13 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
09 Aug
ENH Vilankulo
3 : 1
Sofala
06 Aug
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
19 Jul
Costa do Sol
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Songo 22 18 3 1 50:13 57
2 Associacao Black Bulls 23 11 6 6 35:26 39
3 Ferroviario Beira 23 10 7 6 19:13 37
4 Ferroviario Lichinga 22 9 7 6 38:31 34
5 Ferroviario Maputo 23 7 12 4 25:18 33
6 Baia de Pemba 22 9 5 8 24:21 32
7 ENH Vilankulo 24 7 10 7 22:21 31
8 Costa do Sol 23 7 10 6 18:18 31
9 Ferroviario Nacala 23 8 7 8 16:17 31
10 Chingale de Tete 22 6 9 7 22:21 27
11 Ferroviario Nampula 22 6 8 8 21:29 26
12 Textafrica 23 4 8 11 15:30 20
13 Desportivo de Nacala 20 2 6 12 13:31 12
14 Desportivo Matola 22 2 4 16 11:40 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)