Sport Picks
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Beira
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Baia de Pemba host Ferroviario Beira in the Mocambola. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Baia de Pemba have averaged 0.38 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Ferroviario Beira's 0.88 scored and 0.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Baia de Pemba slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.26 - 0.88) back Ferroviario Beira to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ferroviario Beira have won more games recently than Baia de Pemba.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baia de Pemba | Ferroviario Beira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Baia de Pemba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Baia de Pemba scored in 48% of their last 25 outings.
Ferroviario Beira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 38% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 0.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario Beira | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 11:3 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Songo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Associacao Black Bulls | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 10:3 | 14 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Nampula | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 6 | Costa do Sol | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Nacala | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 8 | Sofala | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5:10 | 10 |
| 9 | ENH Vilankulo | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ferroviario Maputo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Maxaquene | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1:8 | 4 |
| 14 | Baia de Pemba | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:7 | 3 |