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Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Quelimane

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2023 game between Baia de Pemba and Ferroviario Quelimane finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baia de Pemba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Baia de Pemba
39%
Draws
31%
Ferroviario Quelimane
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Baia de Pemba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Mocambola 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Quelimane Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia de Pemba Ferroviario Quelimane
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2023 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Quelimane
2:1
May 14, 2023 Mocambola
Ferroviario Quelimane vs Baia de Pemba
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia de Pemba 31 / 100
Ferroviario Quelimane 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia de Pemba Ferroviario Quelimane

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Ferroviario Quelimane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Baia de Pemba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Baia de Pemba found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (26 games).

Scoring Trends

Baia de Pemba VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%