Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baia Mare vs Metalurgistul Cugir

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Promotion Group
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baia Mare in this Liga 3 - Promotion Group matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baia Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baia Mare
6%
Draws
4%
Metalurgistul Cugir
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baia Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Baia Mare have won more games recently than Metalurgistul Cugir.
  • Model gives Baia Mare a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Baia Mare Clean Sheet 20%
Metalurgistul Cugir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia Mare Metalurgistul Cugir
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Liga 3 - Promotion Group
Metalurgistul Cugir vs Baia Mare
3:3
Apr 25, 2026 Liga 3 - Promotion Group
Baia Mare vs Metalurgistul Cugir
4:1
May 28, 2022 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
Baia Mare vs Metalurgistul Cugir
3:2
May 25, 2022 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
Metalurgistul Cugir vs Baia Mare
0:4
Sep 7, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Metalurgistul Cugir vs Baia Mare
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia Mare 85 / 100
Metalurgistul Cugir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia Mare Metalurgistul Cugir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baia Mare scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Metalurgistul Cugir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Baia Mare stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baia Mare VS Metalurgistul Cugir
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baia Mare

(Home)
22 May
Metalurgistul Cugir
3 : 3
Baia Mare
16 May
Baia Mare
2 : 0
Viitorul Arad
09 May
Politehnica Timisoara
1 : 0
Baia Mare
02 May
Baia Mare
1 : 1
Unirea Alba-Iulia
25 Apr
Baia Mare
4 : 1
Metalurgistul Cugir
Page 1 of 6

Metalurgistul Cugir

(Away)
22 May
Metalurgistul Cugir
3 : 3
Baia Mare
15 May
Sanatatea Cluj
3 : 2
Metalurgistul Cugir
08 May
Metalurgistul Cugir
1 : 1
Unirea Tasnad
02 May
SCM Zalau
3 : 0
Metalurgistul Cugir
25 Apr
Baia Mare
4 : 1
Metalurgistul Cugir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cetatea Suceava880024:734
2Soimii Gura Humorului853020:831
3Sporting Liesti831412:1425
4Targu Secuiesc815211:1219
5Viitorul Onesti83236:718
6Stiinta Miroslava841314:1317
7Sepsi 281076:208
8Blejoi81076:185
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cetatea Suceava880024:734
2Soimii Gura Humorului853020:831
3Sporting Liesti831412:1425
4Targu Secuiesc815211:1219
5Viitorul Onesti83236:718
6Stiinta Miroslava841314:1317
7Sepsi 281076:208
8Blejoi81076:185
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cetatea Suceava880024:734
2Soimii Gura Humorului853020:831
3Sporting Liesti831412:1425
4Targu Secuiesc815211:1219
5Viitorul Onesti83236:718
6Stiinta Miroslava841314:1317
7Sepsi 281076:208
8Blejoi81076:185
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cetatea Suceava880024:734
2Soimii Gura Humorului853020:831
3Sporting Liesti831412:1425
4Targu Secuiesc815211:1219
5Viitorul Onesti83236:718
6Stiinta Miroslava841314:1317
7Sepsi 281076:208
8Blejoi81076:185
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cetatea Suceava880024:734
2Soimii Gura Humorului853020:831
3Sporting Liesti831412:1425
4Targu Secuiesc815211:1219
5Viitorul Onesti83236:718
6Stiinta Miroslava841314:1317
7Sepsi 281076:208
8Blejoi81076:185
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cetatea Suceava880024:734
2Soimii Gura Humorului853020:831
3Sporting Liesti831412:1425
4Targu Secuiesc815211:1219
5Viitorul Onesti83236:718
6Stiinta Miroslava841314:1317
7Sepsi 281076:208
8Blejoi81076:185
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cetatea Suceava880024:734
2Soimii Gura Humorului853020:831
3Sporting Liesti831412:1425
4Targu Secuiesc815211:1219
5Viitorul Onesti83236:718
6Stiinta Miroslava841314:1317
7Sepsi 281076:208
8Blejoi81076:185
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cetatea Suceava880024:734
2Soimii Gura Humorului853020:831
3Sporting Liesti831412:1425
4Targu Secuiesc815211:1219
5Viitorul Onesti83236:718
6Stiinta Miroslava841314:1317
7Sepsi 281076:208
8Blejoi81076:185
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cetatea Suceava880024:734
2Soimii Gura Humorului853020:831
3Sporting Liesti831412:1425
4Targu Secuiesc815211:1219
5Viitorul Onesti83236:718
6Stiinta Miroslava841314:1317
7Sepsi 281076:208
8Blejoi81076:185
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stefanesti851214:729
2Popesti Leordeni862018:729
3Flacara Moreni832319:1923
4Agricola Borcea831425:1718
5Olimpic Zarnesti832317:1918
6Inainte Modelu82249:1317
7Tricolorul Breaza822410:1711
8Calarasi812510:2310
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stefanesti851214:729
2Popesti Leordeni862018:729
3Flacara Moreni832319:1923
4Agricola Borcea831425:1718
5Olimpic Zarnesti832317:1918
6Inainte Modelu82249:1317
7Tricolorul Breaza822410:1711
8Calarasi812510:2310
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stefanesti851214:729
2Popesti Leordeni862018:729
3Flacara Moreni832319:1923
4Agricola Borcea831425:1718
5Olimpic Zarnesti832317:1918
6Inainte Modelu82249:1317
7Tricolorul Breaza822410:1711
8Calarasi812510:2310
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stefanesti851214:729
2Popesti Leordeni862018:729
3Flacara Moreni832319:1923
4Agricola Borcea831425:1718
5Olimpic Zarnesti832317:1918
6Inainte Modelu82249:1317
7Tricolorul Breaza822410:1711
8Calarasi812510:2310
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stefanesti851214:729
2Popesti Leordeni862018:729
3Flacara Moreni832319:1923
4Agricola Borcea831425:1718
5Olimpic Zarnesti832317:1918
6Inainte Modelu82249:1317
7Tricolorul Breaza822410:1711
8Calarasi812510:2310
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stefanesti851214:729
2Popesti Leordeni862018:729
3Flacara Moreni832319:1923
4Agricola Borcea831425:1718
5Olimpic Zarnesti832317:1918
6Inainte Modelu82249:1317
7Tricolorul Breaza822410:1711
8Calarasi812510:2310
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stefanesti851214:729
2Popesti Leordeni862018:729
3Flacara Moreni832319:1923
4Agricola Borcea831425:1718
5Olimpic Zarnesti832317:1918
6Inainte Modelu82249:1317
7Tricolorul Breaza822410:1711
8Calarasi812510:2310
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 17)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stefanesti851214:729
2Popesti Leordeni862018:729
3Flacara Moreni832319:1923
4Agricola Borcea831425:1718
5Olimpic Zarnesti832317:1918
6Inainte Modelu82249:1317
7Tricolorul Breaza822410:1711
8Calarasi812510:2310
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 18)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stefanesti851214:729
2Popesti Leordeni862018:729
3Flacara Moreni832319:1923
4Agricola Borcea831425:1718
5Olimpic Zarnesti832317:1918
6Inainte Modelu82249:1317
7Tricolorul Breaza822410:1711
8Calarasi812510:2310
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 19)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ramnicu Valcea862021:634
2Minerul Lupeni862016:127
3CS U Craiova 2825113:1125
4Cetatea Turnu Magurele83059:1518
5Jiul Petrosani82248:916
6Farcasesti831414:1814
7Academica Bals82067:1411
8LPS HD Clinceni81255:198
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 20)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ramnicu Valcea862021:634
2Minerul Lupeni862016:127
3CS U Craiova 2825113:1125
4Cetatea Turnu Magurele83059:1518
5Jiul Petrosani82248:916
6Farcasesti831414:1814
7Academica Bals82067:1411
8LPS HD Clinceni81255:198
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 21)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ramnicu Valcea862021:634
2Minerul Lupeni862016:127
3CS U Craiova 2825113:1125
4Cetatea Turnu Magurele83059:1518
5Jiul Petrosani82248:916
6Farcasesti831414:1814
7Academica Bals82067:1411
8LPS HD Clinceni81255:198
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 22)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ramnicu Valcea862021:634
2Minerul Lupeni862016:127
3CS U Craiova 2825113:1125
4Cetatea Turnu Magurele83059:1518
5Jiul Petrosani82248:916
6Farcasesti831414:1814
7Academica Bals82067:1411
8LPS HD Clinceni81255:198
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 23)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ramnicu Valcea862021:634
2Minerul Lupeni862016:127
3CS U Craiova 2825113:1125
4Cetatea Turnu Magurele83059:1518
5Jiul Petrosani82248:916
6Farcasesti831414:1814
7Academica Bals82067:1411
8LPS HD Clinceni81255:198
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 24)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ramnicu Valcea862021:634
2Minerul Lupeni862016:127
3CS U Craiova 2825113:1125
4Cetatea Turnu Magurele83059:1518
5Jiul Petrosani82248:916
6Farcasesti831414:1814
7Academica Bals82067:1411
8LPS HD Clinceni81255:198
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 25)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ramnicu Valcea862021:634
2Minerul Lupeni862016:127
3CS U Craiova 2825113:1125
4Cetatea Turnu Magurele83059:1518
5Jiul Petrosani82248:916
6Farcasesti831414:1814
7Academica Bals82067:1411
8LPS HD Clinceni81255:198
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 26)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ramnicu Valcea862021:634
2Minerul Lupeni862016:127
3CS U Craiova 2825113:1125
4Cetatea Turnu Magurele83059:1518
5Jiul Petrosani82248:916
6Farcasesti831414:1814
7Academica Bals82067:1411
8LPS HD Clinceni81255:198
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 27)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ramnicu Valcea862021:634
2Minerul Lupeni862016:127
3CS U Craiova 2825113:1125
4Cetatea Turnu Magurele83059:1518
5Jiul Petrosani82248:916
6Farcasesti831414:1814
7Academica Bals82067:1411
8LPS HD Clinceni81255:198
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 28)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Politehnica Timisoara861111:432
2Unirea Alba-Iulia852116:427
3SCM Zalau851211:524
4Sanatatea Cluj841311:724
5Baia Mare832313:1018
6Unirea Tasnad832310:1818
7Metalurgistul Cugir80359:1812
8Viitorul Arad80084:193
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 29)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Politehnica Timisoara861111:432
2Unirea Alba-Iulia852116:427
3SCM Zalau851211:524
4Sanatatea Cluj841311:724
5Baia Mare832313:1018
6Unirea Tasnad832310:1818
7Metalurgistul Cugir80359:1812
8Viitorul Arad80084:193
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 30)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Politehnica Timisoara861111:432
2Unirea Alba-Iulia852116:427
3SCM Zalau851211:524
4Sanatatea Cluj841311:724
5Baia Mare832313:1018
6Unirea Tasnad832310:1818
7Metalurgistul Cugir80359:1812
8Viitorul Arad80084:193
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 31)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Politehnica Timisoara861111:432
2Unirea Alba-Iulia852116:427
3SCM Zalau851211:524
4Sanatatea Cluj841311:724
5Baia Mare832313:1018
6Unirea Tasnad832310:1818
7Metalurgistul Cugir80359:1812
8Viitorul Arad80084:193
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 32)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Politehnica Timisoara861111:432
2Unirea Alba-Iulia852116:427
3SCM Zalau851211:524
4Sanatatea Cluj841311:724
5Baia Mare832313:1018
6Unirea Tasnad832310:1818
7Metalurgistul Cugir80359:1812
8Viitorul Arad80084:193
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 33)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Politehnica Timisoara861111:432
2Unirea Alba-Iulia852116:427
3SCM Zalau851211:524
4Sanatatea Cluj841311:724
5Baia Mare832313:1018
6Unirea Tasnad832310:1818
7Metalurgistul Cugir80359:1812
8Viitorul Arad80084:193
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 34)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Politehnica Timisoara861111:432
2Unirea Alba-Iulia852116:427
3SCM Zalau851211:524
4Sanatatea Cluj841311:724
5Baia Mare832313:1018
6Unirea Tasnad832310:1818
7Metalurgistul Cugir80359:1812
8Viitorul Arad80084:193
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 35)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Politehnica Timisoara861111:432
2Unirea Alba-Iulia852116:427
3SCM Zalau851211:524
4Sanatatea Cluj841311:724
5Baia Mare832313:1018
6Unirea Tasnad832310:1818
7Metalurgistul Cugir80359:1812
8Viitorul Arad80084:193
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 36)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Politehnica Timisoara861111:432
2Unirea Alba-Iulia852116:427
3SCM Zalau851211:524
4Sanatatea Cluj841311:724
5Baia Mare832313:1018
6Unirea Tasnad832310:1818
7Metalurgistul Cugir80359:1812
8Viitorul Arad80084:193
Promotion - Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Play Offs)