Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baia Mare vs Progresul Somcuta Mare

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baia Mare in this Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baia Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Baia Mare
15%
Draws
21%
Progresul Somcuta Mare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baia Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Progresul Somcuta Mare haven't matched Baia Mare's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Baia Mare's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Baia Mare have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Baia Mare Clean Sheet 20%
Progresul Somcuta Mare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia Mare Progresul Somcuta Mare
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 2.03 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Baia Mare vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
4:0
Sep 11, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs Baia Mare
1:3
Nov 14, 2020 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Baia Mare vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
0:2
Sep 12, 2020 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs Baia Mare
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia Mare 85 / 100
Progresul Somcuta Mare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia Mare Progresul Somcuta Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baia Mare found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Progresul Somcuta Mare let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Solid form: Baia Mare remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baia Mare VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baia Mare

(Home)
12 Sept
Crisul Santandrei
1 : 0
Baia Mare
05 Sept
Baia Mare
3 : 1
Academica Recea
29 Aug
Sighetu Marmatiei
1 : 2
Baia Mare
19 Aug
Baia Mare
2 : 3
Corvinul Hunedoara
12 Aug
Baia Mare
5 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
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Progresul Somcuta Mare

(Away)
17 Aug
Progresul Somcuta Mare
1 : 12
CSM Satu Mare
28 May
SCM Zalau
5 : 2
Progresul Somcuta Mare
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
14 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
0 : 2
CSM Satu Mare
07 May
CFR Cluj II
4 : 2
Progresul Somcuta Mare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baia Mare 18 13 3 2 57:20 42
2 CA Oradea 18 12 3 3 43:21 39
3 Somesul Dej 18 11 2 5 41:20 35
4 Baile Felix 18 8 5 5 38:23 29
5 SCM Zalau 18 9 1 8 44:35 28
6 Simleul Silvaniei 18 6 5 7 21:31 23
7 CFR Cluj II 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 CSM Satu Mare 18 4 6 8 24:33 18
9 Progresul Somcuta Mare 18 4 5 9 26:40 17
10 Luceafarul Oradea 18 0 1 17 6:73 -3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)