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Baia Mare vs Unirea Tasnad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 8
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baia Mare host Unirea Tasnad in the Liga 3 - Seria 8. This one's hard to separate. Baia Mare have averaged 2.09 scored and 1.09 conceded recently, against Unirea Tasnad's 1.38 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Baia Mare have won 2 to Unirea Tasnad's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 0.75, favoring Baia Mare. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Baia Mare
30%
Draws
27%
Unirea Tasnad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baia Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baia Mare lately — more wins on the board than Unirea Tasnad.
  • Model gives Baia Mare a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Baia Mare Clean Sheet 20%
Unirea Tasnad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia Mare Unirea Tasnad
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.09 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Unirea Tasnad vs Baia Mare
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Baia Mare vs Unirea Tasnad
1:5
Apr 5, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Baia Mare vs Unirea Tasnad
4:0
Sep 29, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Unirea Tasnad vs Baia Mare
1:1
Aug 15, 2018 Romanian Cup
Baia Mare vs Unirea Tasnad
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia Mare 85 / 100
Unirea Tasnad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia Mare Unirea Tasnad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baia Mare scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Baia Mare went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Unirea Tasnad has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baia Mare VS Unirea Tasnad
2.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baia Mare

(Home)
17 Oct
Bihorul Beius
0 : 0
Baia Mare
10 Oct
Baia Mare
6 : 0
Transilvania Sport Academy
02 Oct
Baile Felix
0 : 4
Baia Mare
26 Sept
Baia Mare
2 : 2
Viitorul Cluj
22 Sept
Sanatatea Cluj
0 : 2
Baia Mare
Page 1 of 7

Unirea Tasnad

(Away)
17 Oct
Transilvania Sport Academy
1 : 2
Unirea Tasnad
10 Oct
Unirea Tasnad
1 : 0
Viitorul Cluj
02 Oct
Unirea Dej
0 : 0
Unirea Tasnad
26 Sept
Unirea Tasnad
1 : 2
Academica Recea
23 Sept
SCM Zalau
4 : 0
Unirea Tasnad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baia Mare 9 6 2 1 24:6 20
2 Sanatatea Cluj 9 4 4 1 16:7 16
3 Crisul Santandrei 9 5 1 3 14:13 16
4 SCM Zalau 9 4 3 2 14:7 15
5 Academica Recea 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
6 Sighetu Marmatiei 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 Baile Felix 9 3 4 2 15:12 13
8 Viitorul Cluj 9 3 3 3 17:12 12
9 Bihorul Beius 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
10 Unirea Tasnad 9 2 3 4 5:16 9
11 Unirea Dej 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
12 Transilvania Sport Academy 9 0 1 8 7:32 1
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 8 (Relegation Group)