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Bajai vs FC Dabas

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bajai play FC Dabas in the Hungarian Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bajai averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. FC Dabas averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Bajai won 1, FC Dabas won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 26, 2023 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Bajai and 1.11 for FC Dabas. This points to a Bajai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bajai
15%
Draws
42%
FC Dabas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bajai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Bajai picked up more points recently compared to FC Dabas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Bajai Clean Sheet 21%
FC Dabas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bajai FC Dabas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 Hungarian Cup
Bajai vs FC Dabas
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bajai 43 / 100
FC Dabas 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bajai FC Dabas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bajai or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bajai attacking → ← attacking FC Dabas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bajai scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

FC Dabas let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Bajai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Dabas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 41
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13