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Baka City vs FOMO FC

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hussein H.
46' Event
Mwale T.
(Penalty)
49' Event

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024 game between Baka City and FOMO FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baka City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Baka City
39%
Draws
30%
FOMO FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FOMO FC come out ahead of Baka City on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Baka City Clean Sheet 10%
FOMO FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baka City FOMO FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2024 Super League
Baka City vs FOMO FC
2:1
May 11, 2024 Super League
FOMO FC vs Baka City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baka City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FOMO FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baka City 30 / 100
FOMO FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baka City FOMO FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FOMO FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Baka City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Baka City scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Baka City VS FOMO FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baka City

(Home)
07 Dec
Baka City
1 : 3
Chitipa United
27 Nov
Silver Strikers
2 : 0
Baka City
20 Nov
Baka City
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
16 Nov
Baka City
2 : 2
Mighty Tigers
06 Nov
Baka City
2 : 1
FOMO FC
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FOMO FC

(Away)
07 Dec
FOMO FC
0 : 0
Karonga United
04 Dec
FOMO FC
1 : 0
Silver Strikers
01 Dec
FOMO FC
0 : 2
Big Bullets
20 Nov
FOMO FC
1 : 0
Creck Sporting
09 Nov
Chitipa United
2 : 1
FOMO FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Silver Strikers301910158:1767
2Mighty Wanderers FC30177657:1958
3Big Bullets301413342:2055
4Mzuzu City30139831:3248
5Civo Utd301110935:2743
6Creck Sporting301012844:3342
7Karonga United301191030:3042
8Moyale Barracks30912930:2739
9MAFCO30912930:3939
10Kamuzu Barracks30813930:2937
11Dedza Dynamos30715832:3136
12Mighty Tigers308111126:3835
13Chitipa United30781535:4629
14FOMO FC30851720:3829
15Bangwe All Stars30691517:3427
16Baka City30272117:7413
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