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Bakaridjan vs Korofina

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Korofina in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korofina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bakaridjan
30%
Draws
41%
Korofina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Korofina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Korofina lately — more wins on the board than Bakaridjan.
  • Win probability leans Bakaridjan's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Korofina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%
Korofina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakaridjan Korofina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Korofina
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Bakaridjan
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Korofina
0:1
Dec 31, 2024 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Bakaridjan
1:0
Feb 1, 2024 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Bakaridjan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakaridjan 68 / 100
Korofina 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakaridjan Korofina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bakaridjan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korofina let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Bakaridjan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bakaridjan found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bakaridjan VS Korofina
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bakaridjan

(Home)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
Bakaridjan
0 : 3
Djoliba
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Korofina

(Away)
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
10 Jun
Foot Elite
5 : 3
Korofina
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Korofina
1 : 0
Real Bamako
25 May
Diarra
0 : 0
Korofina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
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