Sport Picks

Georgia

Liga 3 2025

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

0 - 1

FC Gardabani

Our Tip

Match Events

61'

Abakelia D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025 game between Bakhmaro Chokhatauri and FC Gardabani finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gardabani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

33%

Draws

27%

FC Gardabani

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

FC Gardabani carry the better recent record into this one.
40% — that's where the model lands on Bakhmaro Chokhatauri taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Clean Sheet 10%

FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bakhmaro Chokhatauri	FC Gardabani
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	2	8
Draws	4	5
Losses	24	19
Goals Scored	0	0.5
Goals Conceded	3.5	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Liga 3

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs FC Gardabani

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

May 8, 2025 Liga 3

FC Gardabani vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Oct 31, 2024 Liga 3

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs FC Gardabani

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

May 9, 2024 Liga 3

FC Gardabani vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Nov 30, 2018 Liga 3

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs FC Gardabani

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

FC Gardabani Compare

Top Goalscorer Abakelia D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 / 100

FC Gardabani 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri FC Gardabani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gardabani has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

FC Gardabani's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bakhmaro Chokhatauri scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri VS FC Gardabani

0 Goals Scored 0.5

3.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shturmi	30	21	7	2	68:22	70
2	Gori	30	20	7	3	58:28	67
3	Odishi 1919	30	20	4	6	59:19	64
4	Dusheti	30	19	6	5	79:35	63
5	FC Tbilisi 2025	30	17	7	6	59:32	58
6	WIT Georgia	30	14	10	6	64:32	52
7	Orbi	30	11	11	8	58:40	44
8	Didube	30	12	7	11	47:43	43
9	Merani Tbilisi	30	8	8	14	39:52	32
10	Betlemi Keda	30	7	8	15	43:71	29
11	FC Gardabani	30	8	5	17	37:67	29
12	Margveti 2006	30	7	7	16	36:71	28
13	Locomotive Tbilisi 2	30	8	3	19	43:68	27
14	Khobi	30	7	5	18	35:63	26
15	Borjomi	30	6	5	19	34:60	23
16	Bakhmaro Chokhatauri	30	3	4	23	18:74	13