Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

First Division 2010/2011

MKT Araz Imisli

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bakili Baku play MKT Araz Imisli in the First Division 2010/2011. MKT Araz Imisli are favorites here. Recently, Bakili Baku averaged 1.31 goals scored and 3.44 conceded. MKT Araz Imisli averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Bakili Baku won 2, MKT Araz Imisli won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 21, 2012 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Bakili Baku and 2.63 for MKT Araz Imisli. This points to a MKT Araz Imisli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Bakili Baku

15%

Draws

58%

MKT Araz Imisli

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MKT Araz Imisli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Bakili Baku picked up more points recently compared to MKT Araz Imisli.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 2.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Bakili Baku Clean Sheet 10%

MKT Araz Imisli Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bakili Baku	MKT Araz Imisli
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	6	14
Draws	3	3
Losses	23	13
Goals Scored	1.31	1.43
Goals Conceded	3.44	1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2012 I Liqa

MKT Araz Imisli vs Bakili Baku

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Dec 5, 2011 I Liqa

Bakili Baku vs MKT Araz Imisli

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

4:0

Apr 3, 2011 I Liqa

Bakili Baku vs MKT Araz Imisli

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Oct 30, 2010 I Liqa

MKT Araz Imisli vs Bakili Baku

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

May 16, 2010 I Liqa

MKT Araz Imisli vs Bakili Baku

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakili Baku 26 / 100

MKT Araz Imisli 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bakili Baku MKT Araz Imisli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MKT Araz Imisli Win (2)

Secondary Pick MKT Araz Imisli & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bakili Baku attacking → ← attacking MKT Araz Imisli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakili Baku scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

MKT Araz Imisli let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Bakili Baku went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

MKT Araz Imisli lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 45

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

4.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Abseron	26	23	3	0	75:6	72
2	Ravan	26	19	3	4	54:14	60
3	Bakili Baku	26	16	4	6	37:24	52
4	Lokbatan	26	15	5	6	47:24	50
5	MKT Araz Imisli	26	15	3	8	49:34	48
6	Sahdag Qusar	26	13	8	5	45:22	47
7	SumQayit FK	26	13	5	8	34:26	44
8	Karvan	26	6	8	12	26:40	26
9	Shamkir	26	5	7	14	15:36	22
10	ANSAD Neftcala	26	5	6	15	28:48	21
11	Goyazan Qazax	26	5	4	17	22:50	19
12	Mingachevir	26	4	6	16	17:50	18
13	Susa	26	3	8	15	20:41	17
14	Adliyya Baku	26	3	4	19	13:67	13