Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bakili Baku vs Sahdag Qusar

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bakili Baku in this First Division 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bakili Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bakili Baku
6%
Draws
90%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sahdag Qusar have won more games recently than Bakili Baku.
  • Model gives Sahdag Qusar a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bakili Baku Clean Sheet 17%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakili Baku Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 33 44
Wins 7 20
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Bakili Baku
3:0
Sep 23, 2016 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
3:2
Apr 30, 2016 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
4:1
Dec 13, 2015 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Bakili Baku
2:1
May 1, 2015 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakili Baku 10 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakili Baku Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Bakili Baku found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Sahdag Qusar has conceded goals in 61% of their last 44 outings.

Recent resilience: Bakili Baku stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sahdag Qusar
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bakili Baku

(Home)
27 Apr
Bakili Baku
1 : 7
Sabail
21 Apr
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Bakili Baku
14 Apr
Bakili Baku
4 : 0
Goyazan Qazax
09 Apr
Lokbatan
6 : 1
Bakili Baku
30 Mar
Sahdag Qusar
3 : 0
Bakili Baku
Page 1 of 7

Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Mingachevir
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ANSAD Neftcala26202474:2062
2Lokbatan26184459:2858
3Agsu (Inactive)26138546:2947
4MOIK Baku26145753:2447
5Shamkir26108830:2438
6Zaqatala PFK2699847:3636
7Turan261061035:3136
8Imisli FK26881028:2632
9FK Baku26931433:4230
10Bakili Baku26861234:4630
11Sahdag Qusar26861231:5430
12Sharurspor26841445:4428
13Goyazan Qazax26381517:4217
14Mingachevir26431914:10015
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)