Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bakili Baku vs Sharurspor

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sharurspor in this First Division 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sharurspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bakili Baku
28%
Draws
22%
Sharurspor
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bakili Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sharurspor lately — more wins on the board than Bakili Baku.
  • Win probability leans Bakili Baku's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular First Division 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sharurspor have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bakili Baku Clean Sheet 10%
Sharurspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakili Baku Sharurspor
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 7 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 25 21
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 3.38 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2017 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Sharurspor
0:1
Sep 14, 2016 I Liqa
Sharurspor vs Bakili Baku
5:0
Mar 18, 2016 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Sharurspor
0:1
Oct 22, 2015 I Liqa
Sharurspor vs Bakili Baku
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakili Baku 47 / 100
Sharurspor 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakili Baku Sharurspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sharurspor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bakili Baku scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Sharurspor has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bakili Baku VS Sharurspor
1 Goals Scored 0.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bakili Baku

(Home)
27 Apr
Bakili Baku
1 : 7
Sabail
21 Apr
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Bakili Baku
14 Apr
Bakili Baku
4 : 0
Goyazan Qazax
09 Apr
Lokbatan
6 : 1
Bakili Baku
30 Mar
Sahdag Qusar
3 : 0
Bakili Baku
Page 1 of 7

Sharurspor

(Away)
27 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Sharurspor
21 Apr
Sharurspor
0 : 0
Ravan
14 Apr
Sahdag Qusar
3 : 0
Sharurspor
10 Apr
Sharurspor
0 : 3
Turan
27 Mar
Sharurspor
0 : 3
Agsu (Inactive)
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ANSAD Neftcala26202474:2062
2Lokbatan26184459:2858
3Agsu (Inactive)26138546:2947
4MOIK Baku26145753:2447
5Shamkir26108830:2438
6Zaqatala PFK2699847:3636
7Turan261061035:3136
8Imisli FK26881028:2632
9FK Baku26931433:4230
10Bakili Baku26861234:4630
11Sahdag Qusar26861231:5430
12Sharurspor26841445:4428
13Goyazan Qazax26381517:4217
14Mingachevir26431914:10015
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)