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Bakov nad Jizerou W vs Mlada Boleslav W

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Czech Cup Women 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bakov nad Jizerou W play Mlada Boleslav W in the Czech Cup Women 2024/2025. Bakov nad Jizerou W are favorites here. Recently, Bakov nad Jizerou W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 4.83 conceded. Mlada Boleslav W averaged 1.66 goals scored and 4.62 conceded. In past meetings, Bakov nad Jizerou W won 1, Mlada Boleslav W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 24, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.75 for Bakov nad Jizerou W and 2.92 for Mlada Boleslav W. This points to a Bakov nad Jizerou W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Bakov nad Jizerou W
15%
Draws
19%
Mlada Boleslav W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bakov nad Jizerou W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Bakov nad Jizerou W picked up more points recently compared to Mlada Boleslav W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.75 vs 2.92 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bakov nad Jizerou W Clean Sheet 10%
Mlada Boleslav W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakov nad Jizerou W Mlada Boleslav W
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 3 4
Draws 0 4
Losses 3 21
Goals Scored 1.5 1.66
Goals Conceded 4.83 4.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.83 6.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 Czech Cup Women
Bakov nad Jizerou W vs Mlada Boleslav W
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakov nad Jizerou W 61 / 100
Mlada Boleslav W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakov nad Jizerou W Mlada Boleslav W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bakov nad Jizerou W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bakov nad Jizerou W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.8%
1.20
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bakov nad Jizerou W attacking → ← attacking Mlada Boleslav W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakov nad Jizerou W scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Mlada Boleslav W let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Bakov nad Jizerou W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mlada Boleslav W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 16
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
4.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.00