Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Baku Sporting

1 - 1

Mingachevir

Our Tip

Match Events

Allahverdiyev I.

34'

Kalunga K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Baku Sporting and Mingachevir finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Baku Sporting

44%

Draws

20%

Mingachevir

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mingachevir come out ahead of Baku Sporting on wins alone.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 13%

Mingachevir Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baku Sporting	Mingachevir
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	16
Draws	11	6
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	1.38	2.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Mingachevir

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Mar 5, 2026 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Mingachevir

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Nov 26, 2025 I Liqa

Mingachevir vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Apr 24, 2025 I Liqa

Mingachevir vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

Feb 20, 2025 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Mingachevir

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baku Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Allahverdiyev I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Mingachevir Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalunga K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baku Sporting 35 / 100

Mingachevir 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baku Sporting Mingachevir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baku Sporting scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Mingachevir has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Baku Sporting has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baku Sporting VS Mingachevir

1.38 Goals Scored 2.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18