Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Baku Sporting

3 - 1

MOIK Baku

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Pablo Henrique

(Penalty)

45'

Pablo Henrique

(Penalty)

59'

Allahverdiyev I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Baku Sporting and MOIK Baku finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baku Sporting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Baku Sporting

22%

Draws

18%

MOIK Baku

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Baku Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

MOIK Baku haven't matched Baku Sporting's recent run of results.
Model gives Baku Sporting a 60% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 68%

MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baku Sporting	MOIK Baku
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	9
Draws	11	7
Losses	5	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Feb 12, 2026 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 40% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Oct 22, 2025 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

0:0

May 23, 2025 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Dec 18, 2024 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baku Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Allahverdiyev I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

MOIK Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Faracov S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baku Sporting 68 / 100

MOIK Baku 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baku Sporting MOIK Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Baku Sporting scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Baku Sporting has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

MOIK Baku lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baku Sporting VS MOIK Baku

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18